Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about the platform, the model, and how everything works.
What is KSplit?
KSplit is an analytics platform that provides MLB pitcher strikeout projections using a probabilistic, data-driven modeling approach. It focuses on modeling strikeouts at the plate-appearance level and presenting probabilities and market comparisons for context.
Is KSplit a betting service?
No. KSplit is not a betting service. KSplit does not place bets, accept wagers, or provide betting instructions. All data is provided for informational and educational purposes only.
Do you provide picks, plays, or recommendations?
No. KSplit does not provide picks, "locks," or betting advice. The platform presents projections, probabilities, and comparisons so users can form their own independent conclusions.
How are the strikeout projections calculated?
Projections are built by combining:
- Pitcher strikeout rates
- Opponent lineup strikeout tendencies
- Lineup handedness and composition
- Expected batters faced
These inputs are used to model a full distribution of possible strikeout outcomes, rather than a single fixed number.
Why don't projections always match actual results?
Strikeouts are inherently variable and influenced by factors such as game flow, pitch counts, efficiency, and managerial decisions. KSplit models probability and uncertainty. It does not attempt to predict exact outcomes or eliminate variance.
How often is the dashboard updated?
The dashboard updates daily and may refresh as starting pitchers are confirmed and lineups become available. Updates are reflected directly on the dashboard.
What is the difference between free and subscribed access?
Free users can view yesterday's completed dashboard, distributions, and outcome data in read-only mode.
Subscribers receive access to expanded probability metrics, distribution-based insights, historical logs, and additional analytical depth.
What sportsbooks are used for odds?
Market odds are sourced from widely available sportsbooks and are shown for reference and comparison purposes only. Odds may vary by sportsbook and are subject to change.
How are market odds compared to the model?
KSplit converts market odds into implied probabilities and removes the sportsbook margin (vig) before comparison. This allows for a fair, apples-to-apples comparison between the model's probability and the market's estimate.
How accurate is the model?
No projection system can guarantee outcomes. KSplit tracks and logs historical projections and results to measure error and bias over time, with a focus on transparency rather than selective reporting.
Can I cancel my subscription?
Yes. Subscriptions can be canceled at any time according to the terms shown at checkout.
Is KSplit legal to use?
KSplit provides analytical information only and does not facilitate wagering. Users are responsible for complying with all local laws and regulations related to sports betting or data usage.
Who is KSplit for?
KSplit is built for users who want:
- A structured, data-driven view of pitcher strikeouts
- Probability-based context instead of narratives
- Transparent analytics without hype or picks
Where can I learn more about how the model works?
The Methodology page provides a detailed explanation of how projections, probabilities, and market comparisons are generated. For a step-by-step tour of the columns on the live board, see our How to Guide for Today's Dashboard. For metric-by-metric definitions, read the Glossary.
Still have questions? Reach out directly, or review the Terms of Service & Policies.
[email protected]